The second term may leads to a breakthrough simply - Slowly, but the Hungarian economy becomes lively

The economic increase rises palpable in 2008 after the 2007. yearly big deceleration, but his level is canceled far in this manner the joined together with us from new EU member states'. This will not be I. yet in a quarter moreover perceptible. The agricultural sphere 2007. yearly, for his big decline because of meteorological reasons automatic counterbalancing since only from the summer months possible. Decreasing by the public utility services last year after the first quarter was sharper, in this manner the base yet relatively tall.

The situation is similar in the retail where the volume of the traffic rose slightly yet in the quarter of 2007. I. The EU supports helping in the upswing of the building industry being effective rather only from the front of the summer expected. At the same time in the industry based on the declining European prosperity temporary the last year's last months 5-6% dynamics which are similar to his increase probable, the inland, investment demand growing only partly can counterbalance the narrowing of the export opportunities mainly. The industrial exports are left in this manner the capital tractive force of the economic development. In the future the relatively favorable, dynamics until now expected in the majority of the business services. The transportation section can repeat the 2007. yearly fast expansion of the transit traffic hardly (what was the consequence of Romania's and Bulgaria's 2007. yearly EU accession partly), while the one which can be waited for bigger agricultural crop supports a growing inland transportation claim. The co-financing of the EU supports means a new market opportunity in the financial sector.

The export one of the tractive forces of the economy are left over, his impetus but the declining European prosperity and slackens because of the last year's bad agricultural crop. The dynamics of the import moderate hardly mutual, that for the animation of the investments, the consequence of the beginning elevation of the consumption and some decay of the ratios of exchange. The decrease of the trade deficit lasting since years stops, indeed may rise slightly, his measure but very low. The of foreign trade asset of the services rises long modest. The deficit growing mutual in the income balance is expected. In this manner the deficiency of the balance of payment going on roughly constant, 5 ones around a billion euros are left over. The from 2007 we start making use of the single part of EU support opportunities being available already in 2008 while they are the considerable sums extending from the previous period yet onto his payment row is found. In this manner the exterior financing claim of the national economy 3,2 onto a billion euros, the GDP quasi 3% moderates.

The inflation 2007 accelerated in his last months, mainly the rising world market energy, raw material and as a result of food prices, that the bad domestic agrarian crop only increased. These tendencies prevail in the future this year, but the budgetary consolidational steps an onetime price lifter being effective already does not come forward. In this manner the inflation the 2007. end 7,4%, 2008 decrease slowly simply on his front - in a January 7,1% was - in a year average 6% circle will be, but the December measure already 4,5% circle may be. The forint this year announcing the lane abolition palpable weakened, got stronger significant since then. In a year average 253 around a forint Euro of exchange rate expected, beside a considerable speculative fluctuation.

The incomes growing in 2008 nominally slightly slackens. The gross earnings in the competitive sector 8%, in the budgetary sector quasi 7% they rise. In this manner the commodity wages the economy in whole one's cca. 0,5-1% rises, but this stagnates practically in the budgetary sector within.